+7 Cost of mining will ensure Bitcoin doesn’t fall below $6000 – Stutland and Luorio $BTC #bitcoin #mining #XBT https://t.co/tBQXoFJEv8 - Crypto Insider Info - Whales's
Posted at: September 9, 2018 at 03:02AM By: +7 Cost of mining will ensure Bitcoin doesn’t fall below $6000 – Stutland and Luorio $BTC #bitcoin #mining #XBT https://t.co/tBQXoFJEv8 Automate your Trading via Crypto Bot : https://ift.tt/2EU8PEX Join Telegram Channel for FREE Crypto Bot: Crypto Signal
9 Allegations against Louisiana’s Attorney General’s IT department for mining Bitcoins using state resources #XBT https://t.co/asJcVbMb7l - Crypto Insider Info - Whales's
Posted at: February 28, 2018 at 03:45PM By: 9 Allegations against Louisiana’s Attorney General’s IT department for mining Bitcoins using state resources #XBT https://t.co/asJcVbMb7l Automate your Trading via Crypto Bot : http://ift.tt/2EU8PEX Join Telegram Channel for FREE Crypto Bot: Crypto Signal
Bitcoin is scarce, decentralized, and global digital money that cannot be censored.
Transactions generally cannot be reversed
Less than 21 million Bitcoin will exist
Bitcoin is highly divisible to allow for micro-transactions (up to 13 decimal places in a payment channel)
Bitcoin is an open, collaborative project that no company or government controls belonging to the people
Bitcoin is more than just money, but a secure timestamping ledger, payment rail, and smart contract platform
Do not respond to strangers messaging you with investment advice or offers and read how to avoid being scammed from the posts below.
Do not invest in Bitcoin until you do basic research, paid off all high interest debt, and have a emergency savings account of a stable fiat currency.
If investing do not expect to get rich quickly. You should expect to wait at least 1-2 years before taking profits. Bitcoin is currently very volatile. In the interim spend and replace Bitcoin because its a useful currency.
Beginners should avoid all mining and day trading until at least very familiar with Bitcoin. Mining is very professional(You cannot efficiently mine with your computer and need to buy special ASIC machines) and most people lose money day trading.
Never store your Bitcoins on an exchange or web wallet. Buy your bitcoins and withdraw it to your personal wallet where you actually own them instead of IOUs. Services like Robinhood and Revoult should be avoided because you cannot withdraw or use Bitcoin.
Make sure you make a backup of your wallet(software holding keys to your BTC) and preferably keep it offline and physical and private. Typically 12 to 24 words you write down on paper or metal.
Beginners should avoid altcoins, tokens, and ICOs at least initially until they learn about Bitcoin. Most of these are scams and you should be familiar with the basics first. Bitcoin is referred to as BTC or XBT.
Note: Exchanges all have unique market prices and spreads so fees alone will not tell you the best rates. Best way is to directly compare the rates between exchanges. Buy fees above are for normal trading volumes. Verification and hold times can vary based upon lack of history, verification level or credit. More exchanges per location For a secure Decentralized Exchange (DEX) use https://bisq.network
Hello , In the last couple of days I have been considering to buy cryptocurrency. The plan is to invest a small amount around 50 to 75 euro into the cryptocurrency. I chose to invest a small amount because of the high volatility and the positive asymmetric risk involved. I also want to invest in it because I believe that it is a good hedge against the institutionalized system. With institutionalized system I mean the financial system and all the institutions that are connected with it. Why hedge against the financial system? Because given the current macro-economic trajectories and the possible action of central bank (CB) There is a possibility that the world of tomorrow might be looking a lot different then the world of today including the financial system => revaluation???: https://moderntimesinvestors.com/economics/debt-cycle-financial-crisis/ https://www.piie.com/sites/default/files/documents/pb19-18.pdf interesting invest talk: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WA1Ji-Hj1qo&feature=emb_rel_end Now that I have some grounds to base my decision on and have decided what to do , I need to invest in cryptocurrency. There are of course multiple ways to invest in cryptocurrency, but given the fact that I use Degiro , my options will be limited. What I found on investing in cryptocurrency using Degiro : shares:
price: 422,73 euro (fund is denominated in Swedisch Croner) AMUN BITCOIN CRYPTO SINGLE : https://21shares.com/product/abtc price: 48,02 dollar Warrants: OE Part.Z17(18/unl.) Bitcoin MiniL O.End Bitcoin 6390 , 10600, 6190,2835, 3374 , When I look at the options, I already want to leave out the warrants because they are expensive due to the high volatility. So no Warrants, the only two that remain are ETF's and shares. If we look at shares Bitcoin group SE is the better one of the two in my opinion given the fact that it is more vertically integrated into the bitcoin economy while cryptologic only does mining and is a penny stock which has had his high days I presume. Now I am less inclined to invest into a business than Bitcoin itself, because of the idiosyncratic risk that a company faces., but I must commit that Bitcoin group SE is a promising company : https://www.bitcoingroup.com/userfiles/downloads/HB2019/BitcoinGroup_HJB2019_EN.pdf This only leaves us to the ETF's or rather the ETP's . I cannot buy the Bitcoin tracker one because of the price thus this leaves only AMUN Bitcoin Crypto single in my options. Now I have only one options left which is not really a choice in my opinion: I cannot compare different ETF or Stocks with each other and cannot really decide if this is a good ETF or Stock compared to the rest of the market. So I was hoping if some of you guys can help me in:
finding other ETF or Stocks on Degiro that can be optional in my situation
Introduction to Cryptocurrency: BTC, the King of All Tokens
Written by the CoinEx Institution, this series of jocular and easy to understand articles will show you everything you need to know about major cryptocurrencies, making you fully prepared before jumping into crypto! https://preview.redd.it/d6qqcqnqpsn41.png?width=1638&format=png&auto=webp&s=3e1873bd9f22e159fe5675e1e7314a75eaf61ad4 If you are not in the cryptocurrency field, “BTC” may be a stranger to you, but not the Bitcoin. BTC is the abbreviation for Bitcoin. In addition, it has another name: XBT. Speaking of BTC, we have to mention one name, Satoshi Nakamoto, father of BTC. His story started from 2008 when a financial crisis broke out across the world, which laid a foundation for the birth of BTC. On November 1 that year, a person claiming to be Satoshi Nakamoto published the BTC White Paper titled “BTC: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System” on a P2P foundation website, marking the birth of BTC. Two months later, on January 3, 2009, the BTC genesis block was created. BTC got rid of the constraints of third-party institutions by distributed ledgers, which Nakamoto called the “blockchain.” If users are prepared to dedicate their CPU hashrate to run a special software, they can become a “miner”. While mining new BTC, the miners also set up a network to maintain the blockchain together. At the time, BTC was considered as a virtual commodity, not a currency, by some countries, banks and government agencies. It wasn’t until one day a man bought two pizzas for the 10,000 BTC he had mined that BTC had its value (What a losing business). After that, there are ups and downs of the BTC market, but the identity of Nakamoto, has always remained a mystery. Some say he’s from the National Security Agency, and some say he’s a financial expert. But still, he is nowhere to find, and nobody knows anything about him. The wonderful part of BTC lies in the fact that it is something anyone can mine! But if you think you can mine as many BTC as you want, think twice. To avoid inflation, the upper limit for the number of BTC was set at 21 million. Without relying on the central authority, BTC is issued by the blockchain. Assets and transactions are secured by the digital encryption algorithms and the entire network to resist 51% hashrate attacks. Transaction records are collected and maintained by all computers on the network, and the validity of each transaction must be confirmed by blockchain inspection. People say, having been widely recognized and used, the BTC technology presents all mankind with an era of blockchain. As the king of cryptocurrency, what makes BTC so special? 1. Decentralization BTC is the first distributed cryptocurrency. The entire network consists of users and there is no central bank. Decentralization guarantees the security and freedom of BTC. 2.Worldwide circulation BTC can be managed on any computer connected to the Internet. No matter where you are, you can mine, buy, sell or receive it. That is exactly what makes it a magnet for a lot of miners and users. 3. Exclusive ownership Controlling your BTC requires your private key, which can be isolated and stored on any storage medium, and no one can get it except yourself. That experience makes you feel so special and secured. 4.Low transaction fees and no hidden costs The BTC network will charge a certain fee for each transaction to ensure faster transaction execution. In addition, as an A-to-B payment method, BTC does not have tedious procedures or limits, and users only need to provide a BTC address to make payment. How convenient! 5. Cross-platform mining Bitcoin is definitely a passion for geeks! Miners can discover the hashrate of different hardware on many platforms. BTC mining can be both profitable and fun. Today the circulating market value of BTC has reached 1.32 trillion, and the reward is halved about every 4 years. In May 2020 we will usher in the third halving of Bitcoin, with a block height of 630,000, and the reward will be directly reduced from 12.5 BTC to 6.25 BTC. By 2140, there will be no more new Bitcoin generated in the world, and the number of Bitcoin in circulation will not exceed 21 million. If you want to enter the cryptocurrency field, you might as well start by buying BTC. It may present a new door to wealth in front of you, and the key to this door lies in CoinEx. Come on, learn more and trade! https://www.coinex.com/
https://preview.redd.it/dn3jigxmef541.jpg?width=1443&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8440d64aeb78fa8dc0df7a7b52ad04cd055cbe6f Technology Blockchain more and more penetrates into real life and real sectors of the economy. In the near future, the Blockchain in movie will be the norm for filmmaking and for financing film projects. Invest in movies through a 2key.network and buy the MOVIECESH token. THE CINEMADROM + THE 2KEY IS ONE OF THE PIONEERS ON THE PATH TO A NEW FUTURE. Read more on the site - cinemadrom.com If you are interested in how our project develops? Subscribe to social networks. #cinema #movie #cinemadrom #tokensale #cryptocurrency #ethereum #bitcoin #cinemanews #cinematography #crypto #cryptonews #cryptoinvestor #blockchain #trading #mining #ico #investor #investing #moviesnews #lumiere #lut #movieticket #producer #moviecash #news
Nuvmining | Planning To Profession Monero Cryptocurrency? Right here Are The Basics To Obtain You Begun
Among the core mandates of the blockchain innovation is to provide individuals with undeviating privacy. Bitcoin as the first ever decentralized cryptocurrency depended on this premise to market itself to the bigger audience that was after that in need of a digital money that is devoid of government meddling. nuv mining Sadly, in the process, Bitcoin confirmed to be swarming with a number of weaknesses consisting of non-scalability and also mutable blockchain. All the purchases and also addresses are composed on the blockchain therefore making it much easier for any person to connect the dots as well as introduce users' exclusive details based on their existing records. Some federal government and non-government companies are already utilizing blockchain analytics to read information on Bitcoin system. nuvmining Such problems have actually resulted in programmers checking out alternate blockchain technologies with better safety and speed. Among these projects is Monero, usually stood for by XMR ticker. What is Monero? Monero is a privacy-oriented cryptocurrency job whose primary aim is to offer far better personal privacy than various other blockchain ecological communities. This technology guard's customers' info via stealth addresses and Ring signatures. Stealth address describes the development of a single address for a solo purchase. No 2 addresses can be pinned to a solitary transaction. The coins received enter into a totally various address making the entire procedure vague to an exterior viewer. Ring trademark, on the various other hand, describes blending of account keys with public secrets hence producing a "ring" of multiple notaries. This implies a tracking agent can not link a trademark to a certain account. Unlike cryptography (mathematical technique of safeguarding crypto jobs), ring signature is not a newcomer. Its concepts were discovered and also taped in a 2001 paper by The Weizmann Institute as well as MIT. Cryptography has actually absolutely won the hearts of numerous programmers and also blockchain enthusiasts, yet the reality is, it's still a nascent device with a handful utilizes. Since Monero utilizes the currently checked Ring trademark technology, it has established itself apart as a genuine task worth embracing. Things to understand prior to you begin trading Monero Monero's Market Monero's market resembles that of other cryptocurrencies. If you want to buy it then Sea serpent, Poloniex, and Bitfinex are a few of the exchanges to see. Poloniex was the initial to embrace it complied with by Bitfinex and also lastly Kraken. This online money mainly appears secured to the buck or versus fellow cryptos. A few of the readily available pairings include XMUSD, XMBTC, XMEUR, XMXBT and also many more. This currency's trading quantity as well as liquidity document great statistics. Among the good things regarding XMR is that any individual can take part in extracting it either as an individual or by signing up with a mining swimming pool. Any type of computer system with substantially great processing power can mine Monero obstructs with a couple of missteps. Don't bother choosing the ASICS (application-specific integrated circuits) which are currently compulsory for Bitcoin mining. Rate volatility Regardless of being a powerful cryptocurrency network, it's not so special when it pertains to volatility. Basically all altcoins are exceptionally unpredictable. This must not stress any type of passionate investor as this factor is what makes them profitable in the very first place-you buy when prices are in the dip and also market when they are on a higher pattern. In January 2015, XMR was opting for $0.25 after that did some jogging to $60 in Might 2017 and it's currently bowling above the $300 mark. Monero coin taped its ATH (all-time high) of $475 on January seventh prior to it started slumping together with various other cryptocurrencies to $300. At the time of this writing, virtually all decentralized currencies remain in rate modification stage with Bitcoin teeter-tottering between $10-11k from its remarkable ATH of $19,000. Fungibility and also fostering Thanks to its capacity to use trusted personal privacy, XMR has actually been taken on by lots of people making its coins to be easily substituted for other money. In basic terms, Monero can be easily traded for something else. All Bitcoins in Bitcoin Blockchain are recorded down, and therefore, when an event like burglary transpires, every coin included will be steered clear of from operating making them nonexchangeable. With monero, you can not differentiate one coin from the other. Therefore, no vendor can decline any of them due to the fact that it's been connected with a negative event. Monero blockchain is currently one of the most trending cryptocurrencies with a considerable variety of followers. Like many other blockchain jobs, its future appearances fantastic albeit the impending federal government crackdown. As an investor, you require to do your due diligence and research before trading in any kind of Cryptocurrency. Where feasible, look for assistance from economists in order to step on the appropriate path.
Done with Core coin, i am converted pre fork coins to Cash, this is awesome.
First time using kraken and they refer legacy chain as XBT and Cash as BCH. it went well, i just tripled amount of my coins. Never going back, im not an investor, not a Core believer, i just want a free digital money, not a crippled one. There are a lot of people who speculates over here and there, i'm not one of them, im just a humble bitcoiner.
TL:DR: Don't bother mining if you want to get rich yo. You're way too late to the party. Welcome to the exciting and often stressful world of bitcoin! You are wondering what looks like a once in a lifetime opportunity to get rich quick. Of course you guys probably heard about this "mining" process but what is this? Simply put, a bitcoin mining machine that performs complicated calculations and when deemed correct by the network, receives a block which contains 25 bitcoins (XBT). This is how bitcoins are generated. So your brain instantly thinks, "Holy shit, how can I get on this gold rush?" Before you proceed further, I would like to explain the concept of mining further. Bitcoin is limited 21m in circulation. It is coded to release a certain number of blocks at a certain time frame, ie: this year the network will release close to 500,000 bitcoins. What this means is that the more people (or specifically the amount of mining power) mine, the less each person gets. The network tries to keep to this time frame through the process of difficulty adjustments which makes the calculations harder and this happens every 2 weeks. So every 2 weeks, you get less bitcoins with the same hash rate (mining power) based on what the difficulty changes are. Recently, the changes have been pretty staggering, jumping 226% in 2 months. You can see the difficulty changes here. Now, why are these changes so large? A bit of a simple history. Bitcoin's algorithm runs on SHA-256. This algorithm can be solved using many hardware, from CPU to GPU and dedicated hardware (Application Specific Integrated Circuits). When bitcoin first started, mining on CPU was a trivial process, you can pretty much earn 50 XBT (the block size then) every few hours between Q1 and Q2 of 2010. In late 2010, due to the difficulty increase that is reducing the effectiveness of CPU mining, people started to harness GPU mining. Only AMD GPU's architecture design are better optimized for bitcoin mining so this is what the community used. Immediate improvements of more than 10x was not uncommon. In time of course, GPUs reached their limit and people started to build dedicated. In the same vein as the CPU to GPU transition, similar performance increase was common. These ASICs can only perform SHA-256 calculation so they can be highly optimized. Their performance mainly depends on the die size of the chips exactly like CPU chips. In general, think of bitcoin mining's technological advancement no different to mining gold. Gold panning (CPUs) vs pickaxes (GPUs) vs machinery (ASICs) and we are still in the ASIC mining race. ASIC mining started with ASICMiner and Avalon being first to the market, both producing 130nm and 110nm chips. The technology are antiquated in comparison to CPUs and GPUs which are now 22nm with 14nm slated for Q1 next year by Intel but they are cheap to manufacture and with performance gains similar to the CPU to GPU transition, they were highly successful and popular for early adopters. At that point in time since there were less competing manufacturers and the low batch runs of their products, miners became really rich due to the slow increase in difficulty. The good days came to an end mid August with an unprecedented 35% increase in difficulty. This is due to existing manufacturers selling more hardware and many other players coming onto the market with better hardware (smaller die). Since die shrinking knowledge and manufacturing process are well known along with a large technological gap (110nm vs 22nm), you get an arms race. Current ASIC makers are closing in on our technological limit and until everyone catches up, the difficulty jumps will be high because it is just too easy to get a performance increase. Most newer products run at 28nm and most chips are not well optimized, so it will be around another 6 to 9 months before we see hit a hard plateau with 22nm or 14nm chips. The estimated time frame is because manufacturing chips at 22nm or 14nm is a more difficult and expensive task. In the meantime most manufacturers will probably settle at 28nm and we will reach a soft plateau in about 3 months. Now, you might ask these questions and should have them answered and if you have not thought about them at all, then you probably should not touch bitcoin until you understand cause you are highly unprepared and probably lose lots of money.
I read that you can mine with a CPU/GPU, should I do so?
No. If you have to ask, please do not touch bitcoin yet. You will spend more on electricity cost than mining any substantial bitcoin. Seriously. At all. A 7990 would produce a pitiful 0.02879 XBT (USD $14 @ $500/XBT exchange rate) for the next 30 days starting 23 Nov 2013 at 35% difficulty increase. And if you think you can mine on your laptop either on a CPU or GPU, you are probably going to melt it before you even get 0.01 XBT.
I get free electricity and I have existing hardware, should I still mine?
Probably not because you probably forgot that GPUs and CPUs produce a ton of heat and noise. You can try but I see no point earning < $20 bucks per month.
Should I buy an ASIC machine?
No, because your machine will probably not mine as much as buying bitcoins. This situation is called the opportunity cost. While you can still make money if XBT rise in value, it is a fallacy.
IE: if you start mining on 1 Dec 2013, a KnC Jupiter running at 450Gh/sec (KnC lies as not all chips run at 550Gh/sec) will yield you a total revenue of 9.5189 XBT with a profit of 0.7859 XBT in profit by 30th Jan 2014 at a constant difficulty increase of 35%. The opportunity cost is: 8.5910 XBT @ USD $580/XBT with USD $5,000 which is the cost of a KnC Jupiter. This is the best you can earn and it's a bloody optimistic assumption because:
You are assuming your pre-order will arrive on time. (I do not think any first batch pre-order from any manufacturer has arrived on time).
All pre-orders are sold out for 1 Dec.
You are assuming your chips will run at 450Gh/sec minimum but many miners here will tell you their chips have been under performing.
Electricity cost have not been taken into account.
Shipping cost and time has not been taking into account.
Import Tax or VAT has not been taken into account.
Risk of downtime due to DOA or warranties has not been taken into account.
You are assuming the difficulty increase will be a constant 35% which is very unlikely because Cointerra with a team that has worked on some of the world’s highest performance CPUs, GPUs and chipsets for NVIDIA, Intel, Samsung, Qualcomm and Nortel has pre-sold an absurd amount of hash rate. Difficulty increase of 45% or more (which we have seen when a small player, KnC shipped their 1st batch) will be repeated commonly. This is only 1 company, imagine what the rest will come out with. I have failed repeatedly and so have many in estimating future hashrate. You wont be able to do better.
Even if you earn some profit, it will be < 15% and will probably be not worth your risk or your trouble. I can buy and hold XBT with no risk of losing them.
The only circumstances where you will earn money is when XBT exchange rates is so high that it makes the opportunity cost pales in comparison. Unfortunately this is not the case. If XBT stabilized at 900/XBT today (20 Nov 2013) then we might have a good case. The risk is just generally not worth it. Unless you have at least a hundred thousand and can make a contract with a manufacturer for a lower cost, do not bother. Just wait until the arms race is over then you can start mining.
I understand I probably won't earn any money, I just want to do this for fun/hobby...
Okay, go buy an AsicMiner USB Block Erupter. They are cheap and pretty fun to have.
I want something with more omph and still do not mind losing money
Sure, just read the answer below on who NOT to go for. You are doing bitcoin a service by securing the network and you have our (the users') gratitude.
Who are the manufacturers?
You can check out the manufacturers and their products below along with a calculator here. If you still insist on buying, do not to go for BFL. Their track record is horrid and borderline scammish. KnC fucked up a lot with defective boards and chips. Personally, I think CoinTerra is the best choice. Alternatively, you can go on the secondary market to buy a delivered product. You can get a better deal there if you know how to do your "return on investment (ROI)" calculation. Personally, I will go for a 45%-50% difficulty increase for the next 3 months for my calculations and a 2% pool fee. However, most products on ebay are sold at a cost much higher than it should. bitcointalk.org is a cheaper place because everyone knows what are the true value is so you will find less options. If you are unclear or need assistance, please post a question.
Which pool should I use?
I actually do not use any of the pools recommended to the left because I think they lack features. My favourite is Bitminter (Variable fees based on features used; max 2%). It has all advanced features for a pool, very responsive and helpful owner on IRC. Variable fees is good for those who do not need a large feature set, even with all features turned on, it is still cheap. Eligius (0% fees) has high value for money but lacks features. It has anonymous mining which might be attractive to certain subset of people but not for others. Many other community member and I disagree highly with the opinions of the owner on the direction of bitcoin. I do use his pool for now but I do so only because I share my miners with a few partners and anonymous mining allows us to monitor the machines without using an account. Bitminter uses only OpenID which is problematic for me. BTC Guild (3% fees) is another big pool and is fully featured and does charge a premium for their fees. That said, they are the most stable of the lot. I do use them but do so only because my hoster uses them for monitoring. I try not to use them because a pool with a very large hash rate (they are the largest) presents a large vulnerability to bitcoin's network if compromised. All of them pay out transaction fees.
The Great Bitcoin Bull Market Of 2017 by Trace Mayer
By: Trace Mayer, host of The Bitcoin Knowledge Podcast. Originally posted here with images and Youtube videos. I just got back from a two week vacation without Internet as I was scouring some archeological ruins. I hardly thought about Bitcoin at all because there were so many other interesting things and it would be there when I got back. Jimmy Song suggested I do an article on the current state of Bitcoin. A great suggestion but he is really smart (he worked on Armory after all!) so I better be thorough and accurate! Therefore, this article will be pretty lengthy and meticulous. BACKGROUND As I completely expected, the 2X movement from the New York Agreement that was supposed to happen during the middle of my vacation flopped on its face because Jeff Garzik was driving the clown car with passengers willfully inside like Coinbase, Blockchain.info, Bitgo and Xapo and there were here massive bugS and in the code and miners like Bitmain did not want to allocate $150-350m to get it over the difficulty adjustments. I am very disappointed in their lack of integrity with putting their money where their mouths are; myself and many others wanted to sell a lot of B2X for BTC! On 7 December 2015, with Bitcoin trading at US$388.40, I wrote The Rise of the Fourth Great Bitcoin Bubble. On 4 December 2016, with Bitcoin trading at US$762.97, I did this interview:
As of 26 November 2017, Bitcoin is trading around US$9,250.00. That is an increase of about 2,400% since I wrote the article prognosticating this fourth great Bitcoin bull market. I sure like being right, like usual (19 Dec 2011, 1 Jul 2013), especially when there are financial and economic consequences. With such massive gains in such a short period of time the speculative question becomes: Buy, Hold or Sell? FUNDAMENTALS Bitcoin is the decentralized censorship-resistant Internet Protocol for transferring value over a communications channel. The Bitcoin network can use traditional Internet infrastructure. However, it is even more resilient because it has custom infrastructure including, thanks to Bitcoin Core developer Matt Corrallo, the FIBRE network and, thanks to Blockstream, satellites which reduce the cost of running a full-node anywhere in the world to essentially nothing in terms of money or privacy. Transactions can be cheaply broadcast via SMS messages. SECURITY The Bitcoin network has a difficulty of 1,347,001,430,559 which suggests about 9,642,211 TH/s of custom ASIC hardware deployed. At a retail price of approximately US$105/THs that implies about $650m of custom ASIC hardware deployed (35% discount applied). This custom hardware consumes approximately 30 TWh per year. That could power about 2.8m US households or the entire country of Morocco which has a population of 33.85m. This Bitcoin mining generates approximately 12.5 bitcoins every 10 minutes or approximately 1,800 per day worth approximately US$16,650,000. Bitcoin currently has a market capitalization greater than $150B which puts it solidly in the top-30 of M1 money stock countries and a 200 day moving average of about $65B which is increasing about $500m per day. Average daily volumes for Bitcoin is around US$5B. That means multi-million dollar positions can be moved into and out of very easily with minimal slippage. When my friend Andreas Antonopolous was unable to give his talk at a CRYPSA event I was invited to fill in and delivered this presentation, impromptu, on the Seven Network Effects of Bitcoin. These seven network effects of Bitcoin are (1) Speculation, (2) Merchants, (3) Consumers, (4) Security [miners], (5) Developers, (6) Financialization and (7) Settlement Currency are all taking root at the same time and in an incredibly intertwined way. With only the first network effect starting to take significant root; Bitcoin is no longer a little experiment of magic Internet money anymore. Bitcoin is monster growing at a tremendous rate!!
SPECULATION For the Bitcoin price to remain at $9,250 it requires approximately US$16,650,000 per day of capital inflow from new hodlers. Bitcoin is both a Giffen good and a Veblen good. A Giffen good is a product that people consume more of as the price rises and vice versa — seemingly in violation of basic laws of demand in microeconomics such as with substitute goods and the income effect. Veblen goods are types of luxury goods for which the quantity demanded increases as the price increases in an apparent contradiction of the law of demand. There are approximately 16.5m bitcoins of which ~4m are lost, ~4-6m are in deep cold storage, ~4m are in cold storage and ~2-4m are salable. (http://www.runtogold.com/images/lost-bitcoins-1.jpg) (http://www.runtogold.com/images/lost-bitcoins-2.jpg) And forks like BCash (BCH) should not be scary but instead be looked upon as an opportunity to take more territory on the Bitcoin blockchain by trading the forks for real bitcoins which dries up more salable supply by moving it, likely, into deep cold storage. According to Wikipedia, there are approximately 15.4m millionaires in the United States and about 12m HNWIs ($30m+ net worth) in the world. In other words, if every HNWI in the world wanted to own an entire bitcoin as a 'risk-free asset' that cannot be confiscated, seized or have the balance other wise altered then they could not. For wise portfolio management, these HNWIs should have at least about 2-5% in gold and 0.5-1% in bitcoin. Why? Perhaps some of the 60+ Saudis with 1,700 frozen bank accounts and about $800B of assets being targetted might be able to explain it to you. In other words, everyone loves to chase the rabbit and once they catch it then know that it will not get away. RETAIL There are approximately 150+ significant Bitcoin exchanges worldwide. Kraken, according to the CEO, was adding about 6,000 new funded accounts per day in July 2017. Supposedly, Coinbase is currently adding about 75,000 new accounts per day. Based on some trade secret analytics I have access to; I would estimate Coinbase is adding approximately 17,500 new accounts per day that purchase at least US$100 of Bitcoin. If we assume Coinbase accounts for 8% of new global Bitcoin users who purchase at least $100 of bitcoins (just pulled out of thin error and likely very conservative as the actual number is perhaps around 2%) then that is approximately $21,875,000 of new capital coming into Bitcoin every single day just from retail demand from 218,750 total new accounts. What I have found is that most new users start off buying US$100-500 and then after 3-4 months months they ramp up their capital allocation to $5,000+ if they have the funds available. After all, it takes some time and practical experience to learn how to safely secure one's private keys. To do so, I highly recommendBitcoin Core (network consensus and full validation of the blockchain), Armory (private key management), Glacier Protocol (operational procedures) and a Puri.sm laptop (secure non-specialized hardware). WALL STREET There has been no solution for large financial fiduciaries to invest in Bitcoin. This changed November 2017. LedgerX, whose CEO I interviewed 23 March 2013, began trading as a CFTC regulated Swap Execution Facility and Derivatives Clearing Organization. The CME Group announced they will begin trading in Q4 2017 Bitcoin futures. The CBOE announced they will begin trading Bitcoin futures soon. By analogy, these institutional products are like connecting a major metropolis's water system (US$90.4T and US$2 quadrillion) via a nanoscopic shunt to a tiny blueberry ($150B) that is infinitely expandable. This price discovery could be the most wild thing anyone has ever experienced in financial markets. THE GREAT CREDIT CONTRACTION The same week Bitcoin was released I published my book The Great Credit Contraction and asserted it had now begun and capital would burrow down the liquidity pyramid into safer and more liquid assets. (http://www.runtogold.com/images/Great-Credit-Contraction-Liquidity-Pyramid.jpg) Thus, the critical question becomes: Is Bitcoin a possible solution to the Great Credit Contraction by becoming the safest and most liquid asset? BITCOIN'S RISK PROFILE At all times and in all circumstances gold remains money but, of course, there is always exchange rate risk due to price ratios constantly fluctuating. If the metal is held with a third-party in allocated-allocated storage (safest possible) then there is performance risk (Morgan Stanley gold storage lawsuit). But, if properly held then, there should be no counter-party risk which requires the financial ability of a third-party to perform like with a bank account deposit. And, since gold exists at a single point in space and time therefore it is subject to confiscation or seizure risk. Bitcoin is a completely new asset type. As such, the storage container is nearly empty with only $150B. And every Bitcoin transaction effectively melts down every BTC and recasts it; thus ensuring with 100% accuracy the quantity and quality of the bitcoins. If the transaction is not on the blockchain then it did not happen. This is the strictest regulation possible; by math and cryptography! This new immutable asset, if properly secured, is subject only to exchange rate risk. There does exist the possibility that a software bug may exist that could shut down the network, like what has happened with Ethereum, but the probability is almost nil and getting lower everyday it does not happen. Thus, Bitcoin arguably has a lower risk profile than even gold and is the only blockchain to achieve security, scalability and liquidity. To remain decentralized, censorship-resistant and immutable requires scalability so as many users as possible can run full-nodes. (http://www.runtogold.com/images/ethereum-bitcoin-scability-nov-2017.png) TRANSACTIONS Some people, probably mostly those shilling alt-coins, think Bitcoin has a scalability problem that is so serious it requires a crude hard fork to solve. On the other side of the debate, the Internet protocol and blockchain geniuses assert the scalability issues can, like other Internet Protocols have done, be solved in different layers which are now possible because of Segregated Witness which was activated in August 2017. Whose code do you want to run: the JV benchwarmers or the championship Chicago Bulls? As transaction fees rise, certain use cases of the Bitcoin blockchain are priced out of the market. And as the fees fall then they are economical again. Additionally, as transaction fees rise, certain UTXOs are no longer economically usable thus destroying part of the money supply until fees decline and UTXOs become economical to move. There are approximately 275,000-350,000 transactions per day with transaction fees currently about $2m/day and the 200 DMA is around $1.08m/day. (http://www.runtogold.com/images/bitcoin-transaction-fees-nov-2017.png) What I like about transaction fees is that they somewhat reveal the financial health of the network. The security of the Bitcoin network results from the miners creating solutions to proof of work problems in the Bitcoin protocol and being rewarded from the (1) coinbase reward which is a form of inflation and (2) transaction fees which is a form of usage fee. The higher the transaction fees then the greater implied value the Bitcoin network provides because users are willing to pay more for it. I am highly skeptical of blockchains which have very low transaction fees. By Internet bubble analogy, Pets.com may have millions of page views but I am more interested in EBITDA. DEVELOPERS Bitcoin and blockchain programming is not an easy skill to acquire and master. Most developers who have the skill are also financially independent now and can work on whatever they want. The best of the best work through the Bitcoin Core process. After all, if you are a world class mountain climber then you do not hang out in the MacDonalds play pen but instead climb Mount Everest because that is where the challenge is. However, there are many talented developers who work in other areas besides the protocol. Wallet maintainers, exchange operators, payment processors, etc. all need competent developers to help build their businesses. Consequently, there is a huge shortage of competent developers. This is probably the largest single scalability constraint for the ecosystem. Nevertheless, the Bitcoin ecosystem is healthier than ever before. (http://www.runtogold.com/images/bitcoin-ecosystem.jpg)(/images/bitcoin-ecosystem-small.jpg) SETTLEMENT CURRENCY There are no significant global reserve settlement currency use cases for Bitcoin yet. Perhaps the closest is Blockstream's Strong Federations via Liquid. PRICE There is a tremendous amount of disagreement in the marketplace about the value proposition of Bitcoin. Price discovery for this asset will be intense and likely take many cycles of which this is the fourth. Since the supply is known the exchange rate of Bitcoins is composed of (1) transactional demand and (2) speculative demand. Interestingly, the price elasticity of demand for the transactional demand component is irrelevant to the price. This makes for very interesting dynamics! (http://www.runtogold.com/images/bitcoin-speculation.jpg) On 4 May 2017, Lightspeed Venture Partners partner Jeremy Liew who was among the early Facebook investors and the first Snapchat investor laid out their case for bitcoin exploding to $500,000 by 2030. On 2 November 2017, Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein (https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-11-02/blankfein-says-don-t-dismiss-bitcoin-while-still-pondering-value)said, "Now we have paper that is just backed by fiat...Maybe in the new world, something gets backed by consensus." On 12 Sep 2017, JP Morgan CEO called Bitcoin a 'fraud' but conceded that "(http://fortune.com/2017/09/12/jamie-dimon-bitcoin-cryptocurrency-fraud-buy/)Bitcoin could reach $100,000". Thus, it is no surprise that the Bitcoin chart looks like a ferret on meth when there are such widely varying opinions on its value proposition. I have been around this space for a long time. In my opinion, those who scoffed at the thought of $1 BTC, $10 BTC (Professor Bitcorn!), $100 BTC, $1,000 BTC are scoffing at $10,000 BTC and will scoff at $100,000 BTC, $1,000,000 BTC and even $10,000,000 BTC. Interestingly, the people who understand it the best seem to think its financial dominance is destiny. Meanwhile, those who understand it the least make emotionally charged, intellectually incoherent bearish arguments. A tremendous example of worldwide cognitive dissonance with regards to sound money, technology and the role or power of the State. Consequently, I like looking at the 200 day moving average to filter out the daily noise and see the long-term trend. (http://www.runtogold.com/images/bitcoin-price-200dma-nov-2017.png) Well, that chart of the long-term trend is pretty obvious and hard to dispute. Bitcoin is in a massive secular bull market. The 200 day moving average is around $4,001 and rising about $30 per day. So, what do some proforma situations look like where Bitcoin may be undervalued, average valued and overvalued? No, these are not prognostications. (http://www.runtogold.com/images/bitcoin-price-pro-forma.png) Maybe Jamie Dimon is not so off his rocker after all with a $100,000 price prediction. We are in a very unique period of human history where the collective globe is rethinking what money is and Bitcoin is in the ring battling for complete domination. Is or will it be fit for purpose? As I have said many times before, if Bitcoin is fit for this purpose then this is the largest wealth transfer in the history of the world. CONCLUSION Well, this has been a brief analysis of where I think Bitcoin is at the end of November 2017. The seven network effects are taking root extremely fast and exponentially reinforcing each other. The technological dominance of Bitcoin is unrivaled. The world is rethinking what money is. Even CEOs of the largest banks and partners of the largest VC funds are honing in on Bitcoin's beacon. While no one has a crystal ball; when I look in mine I see Bitcoin's future being very bright. Currently, almost everyone who has bought Bitcoin and hodled is sitting on unrealized gains as measured in fiat currency. That is, after all, what uncharted territory with daily all-time highs do! But perhaps there is a larger lesson to be learned here. Riches are getting increasingly slippery because no one has a reliable defined tool to measure them with. Times like these require incredible amounts of humility and intelligence guided by macro instincts. Perhaps everyone should start keeping books in three numéraires: USD, gold and Bitcoin. Both gold and Bitcoin have never been worth nothing. But USD is a fiat currency and there are thousands of those in the fiat currency graveyard. How low can the world reserve currency go? After all, what is the risk-free asset? And, whatever it is, in The Great Credit Contraction you want it! What do you think? Disagree with some of my arguments or assertions? Please, eviscerate them on Twitter or in the comments!
Reminder this is r/stock and not a crypto sub; feedback welcomed.
The reason why we have a rule against crypto discussions is because this is stocks where we discuss stocks. Last year we had a surge of comments that were literally "buy bitcoin" in almost every single post on stocks, and it wasn't just a single comment, sometimes you would find 10 users stating the exact same thing, "buy bitcoin" or going into details on how to mine bitcoins; this is spam & off topic. Also Bitcoin is not a stock, just like discussing buying & reselling sneakers is not a stock, these discussions are off topic and that reason alone was enough to remove posts & comments. Unfortunately this wasn't enough, so we created a rule (see sidebar) against discussing crypto with a link to a sub where you could; we also made an automod rule to deal with this. If you want to discuss investing in general, you can go to investing, which is mentioned in the sidebar (on mobile by tapping "about this community"). If you want to discuss crypto & mining you can go to CryptoCurrency. Below is the automod message I wrote, please give me your criticism & feedback on this. I made it informative to deal with some misconceptions & misinformation (including GPU mining). You can also see that when a stock is related to crypto, I've whitelisted that stock (including this post) so you can discuss crypto as long as that discussion is related to the stock (or this post), so it's not 100% removal; it also only affects top level comments: Sorry your comment (link to comment) in /stocks was automatically removed as per rule 6: Bitcoins & cryptocurrenies should be discussed in CryptoCurrency. This probably only affects your comment if it was a top level suggestion. Keep in mind this is stocks and people come here for stock suggestions. We've whitelisted some discussions on crypto, but not all such as bitcoin & crypto holding ETFs and futures (explanation below). However we allow crypto discussions on the following: Coinbase IPO, Square INC, Overstock, XNET, MARA, GCAP, NVDA, AMD, and Kodak; this list will always be updated (see below to what won't be included). A list of the rules can be found here, and if you're new to stocks please see the wiki and/or read this post. If you're just wondering if cryptocoins are an investment, read here. Please note:
GBTC, BTSC & other crypto holding ETFs don't function like other commodity ETFs like USO & GLD. GBTC & BTSC are overvalued, inefficient, trade on Over The Counter exchange, and unregulated. Within a 5 day period where Bitcoins went up 43% for the week of Dec 4th 2017 while GBTC dropped 7% and BTSC fell a whopping 61% (people calling BTSC a scam is not an exaggeration).
AMD, NVDA, VISA are not affected by bitcoins; GPU mining died in 2013 and since then everyone has switched to ASIC mining, check for your self with this website.; some analysts say only 5% of GPU sales are related to crypto mining.
VISA is not affected by crypto currencies: VISA transactions are around $10 trillion while we don't have a dollar value of retail crypto transactions, we have per second retail volume of bitcoin + eth = 14 per second vs VISA at 4471 per second (based on 2016, source), source for crypto transactions..
CBOE Bitcoin futures (XBT) & CME Bitcoin futures are not stocks and don't affect the stock market like other commodities:
Oil futures affect the stock market because the energy industry depends heavily on the price of oil.
Price of gold, copper, steel, and other metals affect several industries & their respective stocks, not to mention gold is an indicator for feasafe-haven and affects stock indexes.
As of 12/2017, there is not a single publicly traded company that depends on the price of cryptocurrencies. As that changes I'll whitelist those specific stocks until there's a recognized sector and I'll release the floodgates of posts. Until then, see cryptomarkets, TheWallStreet, or Commodities.
If you're wondering if a crypto crash could affect the stock market, lets put things into perspective: Bitcoin & crytpocurrency market caps are still less than 1% of the stock market at around half a trillion (12/2017) while gold is at 7 trillion, the s&p at 22.5 trillion, and residential real estate at 34 trillion; not to mention bonds & global real estate reduce everything I just mentioned into fractions. Source & source.
Thanks for understanding. Again this post is whitelisted so you can mention any crypto related keyword (as long as it deals with this post), and please provide your feedback which will help me whitelist more stocks/keywords; again keep in mind this is stocks. Update: Based on feedback I updated the bullet point regarding the size of crypto market vs stock market, thanks u/yourslice Update2: Based on information provided by u/mike_996, I'm whitelisting NVDA & AMD against crypto related keywords. However I'll be making a 2nd rule that'll remove "how to mine" type questions w/ a message that contains links to sub reddits on mining.
Waiting for a 100BTC Bitstamp Withdrawal for over 18 hours. I'm worried. Anyone of you received BTC from them lately?
I already processed hundreds of withdrawals with them, some of them also around 100 BTC. It never took more than an hour. What is going on? If you have received a bigger amount of BTC recently please let me know. http://s11.postimg.org/id18ybg0j/wreqbitstamp.png Edit: ok at least 3 similiar cases. 0 cases to my knowledge where BTC could be successfully withdrawn today. Edit2: All over. I received all payments... This went quickly... Ty - this subreddit helped a lot... The support responded quickly once they were aware people might start panicking
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AMERICA TO BAN BITCOIN MINING!? Stocks Crash TOMORROW!! BTC Weekly Close! Altcoin, XRP & Crypto News
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